GIAPPONE 5

Technical Analysis: MSCI EM Asia index: towards March 2012 highs

Technical Commentary: The MSCI EM Asia index replicates the performance of the Asian large and medium cap market. ……


Day By Day – Indipendent Research


This index has evolved in a bullish trend since a reversed head-an-shoulder pattern was triggered at the end of 2011. Such a reversal pattern generally allows a sustainable movement to unfold. The medium-term trend is bullish

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Anticipation :

In the shorter term, prices are also evolving in a bullish dynamic, alternating acceleration and consolidation phases. The latest consolidation phase has been contained by the 369.50 points support, corresponding to the 38% retracement ratio of the last bullish impulse. This solid level should allow the trend to resume towards the 387 points resistance – March 2012 highs.

The 100-day moving average (ascending) is nearby and confirms our anticipation.
We are short-term bullish and we set the invalidation threshold of this scenario slightly below the 369.50 points support, which breach would generate a deeper correction towards the 360.40 points support.

Close price378,65

2 months OpinionBULLISH
2 weeks OpinionPOSITIVE

Resistances387 / 396,3 pts
Supports369,5 / 364,4 pts


Follow-up Analysys:On November 19th, we recommended the purchase of the FTSE MIB index. Since then, prices bounced as expected, and are now heading towards our 15810 points target.

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Source: ETFWorld – Day By Day – Indipendent Research


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